# Sevenoaks: election prediction

Conservative hold, 89% likely. Reform UK: 9% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Laura Trott
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 67.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 33.9% | 36.7% |
| Reform UK | 25.1% | 18.7% |
| Lib Dem | 16.0% | 25.8% |
| Labour | 12.9% | 13.6% |
| Green | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Restore Britain | 4.5% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 1.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/sevenoaks), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/sevenoaks.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)