# Sefton Central: election prediction

Labour hold, >99% likely.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Bill Esterson
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 63.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 42.7% | 56.4% |
| Reform UK | 18.4% | 12.2% |
| Conservative | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| Green | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Lib Dem | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Restore Britain | 3.6% | – |
| Independent | 1.3% | 1.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/sefton-central), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/sefton-central.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)