# Scunthorpe: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 56% likely. Labour: 37% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Nicholas Dakin
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 52.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 31.0% | 20.9% |
| Labour | 29.1% | 39.7% |
| Conservative | 22.5% | 30.6% |
| Restore Britain | 8.8% | – |
| Green | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Lib Dem | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| Independent | 1.7% | 3.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/scunthorpe), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/scunthorpe.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)