# Scarborough and Whitby: election prediction

Labour hold, 51% likely. Reform UK: 42% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Alison Hume
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 59.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 30.3% | 40.2% |
| Reform UK | 29.7% | 21.8% |
| Conservative | 22.6% | 27.9% |
| Restore Britain | 7.7% | – |
| Green | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Lib Dem | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Independent | 1.0% | 1.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/scarborough-and-whitby), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/scarborough-and-whitby.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)