# Salisbury: election prediction

Conservative hold, 87% likely. Labour: 12% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: John Glen
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 69.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 31.9% | 34.1% |
| Labour | 23.7% | 26.5% |
| Reform UK | 17.0% | 10.4% |
| Lib Dem | 15.5% | 23.6% |
| Green | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Restore Britain | 3.2% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | 1.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/salisbury), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/salisbury.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)