# Rutherglen: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 65% likely. Labour: 35% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Michael Shanks
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 58.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 33.4% | 29.9% |
| Labour | 29.4% | 50.5% |
| Reform UK | 16.0% | 6.3% |
| Conservative | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Lib Dem | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Independent | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Green | 3.4% | – |
| Restore Britain | 2.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/rutherglen), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/rutherglen.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)