# Rugby: election prediction

Labour hold, 89% likely. Conservative: 6% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: John Slinger
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 65.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 34.1% | 39.9% |
| Reform UK | 24.0% | 16.8% |
| Conservative | 23.3% | 30.8% |
| Green | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Lib Dem | 4.9% | 6.6% |
| Restore Britain | 4.4% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 0.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/rugby), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/rugby.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)