# Rossendale and Darwen: election prediction

Labour hold, 69% likely. Reform UK: 28% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Andy MacNae
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 59.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.7% | 40.9% |
| Reform UK | 28.9% | 21.7% |
| Conservative | 21.2% | 28.3% |
| Restore Britain | 6.5% | – |
| Green | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Lib Dem | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| Independent | 1.3% | 1.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/rossendale-and-darwen), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/rossendale-and-darwen.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)