# Romsey and Southampton North: election prediction

Conservative hold, 93% likely. Lib Dem: 7% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Caroline Nokes
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 69.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 36.0% | 39.8% |
| Lib Dem | 23.1% | 35.4% |
| Reform UK | 19.0% | 11.4% |
| Labour | 11.0% | 9.3% |
| Green | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Restore Britain | 2.7% | – |
| Independent | 1.2% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/romsey-and-southampton-north), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/romsey-and-southampton-north.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)