# Rochdale: election prediction

Labour hold, 57% likely. George Galloway: 23% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Paul Waugh
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 54.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 26.9% | 32.8% |
| Reform UK | 24.4% | 17.1% |
| George Galloway | 19.7% | 29.2% |
| Conservative | 10.2% | 10.8% |
| Green | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Lib Dem | 5.7% | 7.1% |
| Restore Britain | 4.4% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/rochdale), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/rochdale.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)