# Richmond Park: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 99% likely.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Sarah Olney
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 69.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 45.6% | 54.6% |
| Conservative | 23.3% | 21.8% |
| Labour | 11.4% | 9.7% |
| Green | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Reform UK | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Restore Britain | 0.7% | – |
| Independent | 0.5% | 1.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/richmond-park), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/richmond-park.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)
