# Richmond and Northallerton: election prediction

Conservative hold, >99% likely.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Rishi Sunak
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 65.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 41.9% | 47.5% |
| Reform UK | 21.5% | 14.7% |
| Labour | 17.2% | 22.4% |
| Lib Dem | 8.1% | 8.9% |
| Green | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Restore Britain | 4.5% | – |
| Independent | 1.2% | 2.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/richmond-and-northallerton), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/richmond-and-northallerton.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)