# Ribble Valley: election prediction

Labour hold, 56% likely. Conservative: 37% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Maya Ellis
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 64.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 29.7% | 34.9% |
| Conservative | 27.8% | 33.3% |
| Reform UK | 23.1% | 16.4% |
| Lib Dem | 7.7% | 9.6% |
| Green | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Restore Britain | 4.0% | – |
| Independent | 2.2% | 2.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/ribble-valley), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/ribble-valley.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)