# Redcar: election prediction

Labour hold, 65% likely. Reform UK: 25% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Anna Turley
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 54.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.1% | 41.0% |
| Reform UK | 27.9% | 18.9% |
| Conservative | 24.2% | 32.3% |
| Restore Britain | 7.5% | – |
| Green | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Lib Dem | 3.2% | 4.0% |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.4% |

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