# Rayleigh and Wickford: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Conservative, 60% likely. Conservative: 40% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Mark Francois
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 62.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 32.6% | 25.3% |
| Conservative | 30.2% | 37.0% |
| Labour | 17.4% | 24.6% |
| Restore Britain | 8.6% | – |
| Lib Dem | 5.7% | 8.5% |
| Green | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Independent | 0.4% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/rayleigh-and-wickford), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/rayleigh-and-wickford.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)