# Rawmarsh and Conisbrough: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 51% likely. Labour: 48% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: John Healey
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 49%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 34.3% | 28.6% |
| Labour | 34.0% | 49.0% |
| Restore Britain | 12.1% | – |
| Conservative | 10.3% | 13.3% |
| Green | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Lib Dem | 3.1% | 3.4% |
| Independent | 0.6% | 0.8% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/rawmarsh-and-conisbrough), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/rawmarsh-and-conisbrough.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)