# Poole: election prediction

Labour hold, 53% likely. Reform UK: 24% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Neil Duncan-Jordan
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 61.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 28.1% | 31.8% |
| Reform UK | 25.9% | 16.7% |
| Conservative | 24.3% | 31.8% |
| Lib Dem | 7.3% | 12.4% |
| Green | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Restore Britain | 5.9% | – |
| Independent | 1.6% | 2.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/poole), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/poole.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)