# Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 57% likely. Labour: 42% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Yvette Cooper
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 48.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 34.7% | 29.1% |
| Labour | 33.2% | 47.5% |
| Restore Britain | 12.3% | – |
| Conservative | 11.0% | 15.0% |
| Green | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Lib Dem | 3.0% | 3.4% |
| Independent | 0.5% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/pontefract-castleford-and-knottingley), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/pontefract-castleford-and-knottingley.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)