# Penrith and Solway: election prediction

Labour hold, 81% likely. Conservative: 14% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Markus Campbell-Savours
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 63.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 33.2% | 40.6% |
| Conservative | 25.3% | 29.9% |
| Reform UK | 23.1% | 15.5% |
| Lib Dem | 7.5% | 9.6% |
| Green | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Restore Britain | 4.8% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | 1.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/penrith-and-solway), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/penrith-and-solway.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)