# Oxford West and Abingdon: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 99% likely.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Layla Moran
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 65.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 37.8% | 50.9% |
| Conservative | 15.7% | 18.5% |
| Labour | 15.4% | 13.0% |
| Green | 14.4% | 7.0% |
| Reform UK | 13.0% | 9.1% |
| Independent | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Restore Britain | 1.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/oxford-west-and-abingdon), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/oxford-west-and-abingdon.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)