# Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton: election prediction

Labour hold, 53% likely. Reform UK: 28% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Jim McMahon
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 50.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 27.0% | 34.3% |
| Reform UK | 25.8% | 17.8% |
| Zaffar Iqbal | 18.7% | 29.3% |
| Green | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Conservative | 9.6% | 10.5% |
| Restore Britain | 5.0% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.4% | 3.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/oldham-west-chadderton-and-royton), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/oldham-west-chadderton-and-royton.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)