# Oldham East and Saddleworth: election prediction

Labour hold, 62% likely. Reform UK: 34% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Debbie Abrahams
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 54.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 27.9% | 35.2% |
| Reform UK | 25.9% | 19.3% |
| Conservative | 14.1% | 17.1% |
| Shanaz Saddique | 13.0% | 16.3% |
| Green | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Lib Dem | 6.3% | 8.5% |
| Restore Britain | 5.4% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/oldham-east-and-saddleworth), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/oldham-east-and-saddleworth.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)