# North West Essex: election prediction

Conservative hold, 78% likely. Labour: 19% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Kemi Badenoch
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 68.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 31.3% | 35.6% |
| Labour | 25.0% | 30.8% |
| Reform UK | 20.8% | 14.1% |
| Lib Dem | 9.1% | 11.1% |
| Green | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Restore Britain | 4.1% | – |
| Independent | 1.9% | 3.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/north-west-essex), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/north-west-essex.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)