# North Shropshire: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 92% likely. Reform UK: 4% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Helen Morgan
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 63.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 36.1% | 52.9% |
| Reform UK | 23.5% | 15.5% |
| Conservative | 21.2% | 22.0% |
| Labour | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Restore Britain | 5.2% | – |
| Green | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Independent | 0.9% | 0.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/north-shropshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/north-shropshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)