# North Northumberland: election prediction

Labour hold, 80% likely. Conservative: 13% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: David Smith
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 65.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 31.5% | 36.6% |
| Conservative | 23.9% | 26.2% |
| Reform UK | 22.9% | 15.7% |
| Lib Dem | 7.8% | 10.6% |
| Green | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Restore Britain | 5.1% | – |
| Independent | 3.5% | 7.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/north-northumberland), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/north-northumberland.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)