# North Herefordshire: election prediction

Green hold, 87% likely. Conservative: 11% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Ellie Chowns
- 2024 winner: Green, turnout 69.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Green | 36.9% | 43.2% |
| Conservative | 25.0% | 31.5% |
| Reform UK | 21.3% | 16.0% |
| Labour | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Restore Britain | 4.3% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Independent | 1.2% | 0.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/north-herefordshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/north-herefordshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)