# North East Somerset and Hanham: election prediction

Labour hold, 84% likely. Reform UK: 8% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Dan Norris
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 69.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.2% | 40.6% |
| Reform UK | 24.0% | 14.5% |
| Conservative | 23.0% | 30.2% |
| Green | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Lib Dem | 5.6% | 7.6% |
| Restore Britain | 5.4% | – |
| Independent | 1.0% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/north-east-somerset-and-hanham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/north-east-somerset-and-hanham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)