# North East Derbyshire: election prediction

Labour hold, 58% likely. Conservative: 24% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Louise Jones
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 62.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 30.5% | 38.4% |
| Conservative | 26.4% | 34.5% |
| Reform UK | 26.2% | 17.2% |
| Green | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Restore Britain | 6.0% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.8% | 4.7% |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/north-east-derbyshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/north-east-derbyshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)