# North Durham: election prediction

Labour hold, 58% likely. Reform UK: 42% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Luke Akehurst
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 56.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.5% | 39.8% |
| Reform UK | 30.9% | 25.7% |
| Conservative | 12.9% | 15.6% |
| Restore Britain | 9.1% | – |
| Green | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Lib Dem | 6.4% | 10.1% |
| Independent | 1.7% | 3.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/north-durham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/north-durham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)