# North Cotswolds: election prediction

Conservative hold, 95% likely. Lib Dem: 4% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Geoffrey Clifton-Brown
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 68.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 32.5% | 34.7% |
| Reform UK | 19.2% | 12.9% |
| Lib Dem | 18.4% | 28.0% |
| Labour | 16.1% | 17.1% |
| Green | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Restore Britain | 3.7% | – |
| Independent | 1.0% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/north-cotswolds), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/north-cotswolds.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)