# North Cornwall: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 66% likely. Reform UK: 21% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Ben Maguire
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 66.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 31.8% | 47.0% |
| Reform UK | 26.6% | 16.5% |
| Conservative | 23.7% | 27.6% |
| Labour | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Restore Britain | 6.4% | – |
| Green | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/north-cornwall), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/north-cornwall.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)