# Normanton and Hemsworth: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 56% likely. Labour: 44% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Jon Trickett
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 48.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 34.5% | 29.2% |
| Labour | 33.3% | 47.5% |
| Restore Britain | 11.9% | – |
| Conservative | 10.6% | 13.7% |
| Green | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Lib Dem | 3.2% | 3.6% |
| Independent | 0.4% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/normanton-and-hemsworth), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/normanton-and-hemsworth.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)