# Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor: election prediction

Labour hold, 73% likely. Reform UK: 27% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Alan Strickland
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 55.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 35.3% | 46.2% |
| Reform UK | 30.3% | 24.0% |
| Conservative | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| Restore Britain | 8.7% | – |
| Green | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Lib Dem | 3.2% | 3.7% |
| Independent | 1.0% | 1.3% |

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