# Newton Abbot: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Lib Dem, 48% likely. Lib Dem: 27% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Martin Wrigley
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 65%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 26.6% | 17.7% |
| Conservative | 23.0% | 27.0% |
| Lib Dem | 22.3% | 31.7% |
| Labour | 13.1% | 14.8% |
| Restore Britain | 6.8% | – |
| Green | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Independent | 2.4% | 4.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/newton-abbot), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/newton-abbot.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)