# Newport East: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 76% likely. Labour: 23% chance.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Jessica Morden
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 50.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 28.2% | 19.1% |
| Labour | 22.9% | 42.5% |
| Conservative | 13.6% | 16.8% |
| Plaid Cymru | 12.7% | 5.8% |
| Green | 10.1% | 5.4% |
| Independent | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Lib Dem | 4.5% | 5.3% |
| Restore Britain | 2.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/newport-east), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/newport-east.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)