# Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West: election prediction

Labour hold, 96% likely. Reform UK: 3% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Chi Onwurah
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 53.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 35.9% | 45.6% |
| Reform UK | 23.4% | 18.9% |
| Green | 14.2% | 7.8% |
| Conservative | 8.8% | 10.2% |
| Independent | 8.5% | 12.7% |
| Restore Britain | 5.3% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.0% | 4.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/newcastle-upon-tyne-central-and-west), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/newcastle-upon-tyne-central-and-west.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)