# Newbury: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 60% likely. Conservative: 38% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Lee Dillon
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 68%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 30.5% | 40.1% |
| Conservative | 28.2% | 35.3% |
| Reform UK | 20.3% | 10.9% |
| Labour | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Green | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Restore Britain | 3.2% | – |
| Independent | 1.3% | 0.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/newbury), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/newbury.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)