# Newark: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Conservative, 44% likely. Conservative: 33% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Robert Jenrick
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 67%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 29.1% | 15.5% |
| Conservative | 27.1% | 39.2% |
| Labour | 25.7% | 32.5% |
| Green | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Lib Dem | 4.8% | 5.7% |
| Restore Britain | 4.6% | – |
| Independent | 2.0% | 2.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/newark), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/newark.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)