# New Forest West: election prediction

Conservative hold, 91% likely. Reform UK: 7% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Desmond Swayne
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 67.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 33.0% | 35.4% |
| Reform UK | 23.7% | 16.4% |
| Labour | 19.3% | 23.3% |
| Lib Dem | 11.8% | 17.7% |
| Green | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Restore Britain | 4.3% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 1.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/new-forest-west), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/new-forest-west.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)