# New Forest East: election prediction

Conservative hold, 90% likely. Reform UK: 9% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Julian Lewis
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 64%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 33.8% | 38.5% |
| Reform UK | 25.0% | 16.9% |
| Labour | 16.7% | 19.7% |
| Lib Dem | 9.8% | 15.9% |
| Green | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Restore Britain | 5.4% | – |
| Independent | 2.0% | 2.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/new-forest-east), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/new-forest-east.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)