# Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 69% likely. Labour: 31% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Pamela Nash
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 54.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 33.3% | 31.0% |
| Labour | 28.0% | 49.1% |
| Reform UK | 18.1% | 7.7% |
| Conservative | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Green | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Restore Britain | 2.8% | – |
| Lib Dem | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Independent | 2.3% | 0.9% |

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