# Morecambe and Lunesdale: election prediction

Labour hold, 83% likely. Conservative: 11% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Lizzi Collinge
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 62.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 33.4% | 40.8% |
| Conservative | 24.5% | 28.7% |
| Reform UK | 23.6% | 16.3% |
| Lib Dem | 7.7% | 9.9% |
| Green | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Restore Britain | 4.6% | – |
| Independent | 0.6% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/morecambe-and-lunesdale), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/morecambe-and-lunesdale.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)