# Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey: election prediction

SNP hold, 88% likely. Conservative: 8% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Graham Leadbitter
- 2024 winner: SNP, turnout 60.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 32.6% | 32.1% |
| Conservative | 22.2% | 30.0% |
| Reform UK | 21.3% | 7.5% |
| Labour | 9.7% | 17.7% |
| Lib Dem | 5.9% | 8.1% |
| Green | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Restore Britain | 2.5% | – |
| Independent | 1.8% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/moray-west-nairn-and-strathspey), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/moray-west-nairn-and-strathspey.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)