# Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 81% likely. Plaid Cymru: 16% chance.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Steve Witherden
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 58.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 28.4% | 20.6% |
| Plaid Cymru | 20.2% | 13.1% |
| Labour | 15.9% | 29.4% |
| Conservative | 15.8% | 18.0% |
| Lib Dem | 9.9% | 15.0% |
| Green | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Restore Britain | 2.6% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/montgomeryshire-and-glyndwr), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/montgomeryshire-and-glyndwr.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)