# Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland: election prediction

Labour hold, 69% likely. Conservative: 31% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Luke Myer
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 54.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 38.9% | 43.3% |
| Conservative | 34.8% | 42.7% |
| Reform UK | 8.5% | – |
| Green | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Lib Dem | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| Independent | 3.0% | 4.8% |
| Restore Britain | 1.4% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/middlesbrough-south-and-east-cleveland), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/middlesbrough-south-and-east-cleveland.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)