# Mid Derbyshire: election prediction

Labour hold, 63% likely. Conservative: 25% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Jonathan Davies
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 68%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 30.1% | 36.5% |
| Conservative | 26.1% | 32.5% |
| Reform UK | 24.4% | 17.6% |
| Green | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Restore Britain | 4.7% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.5% | 5.0% |
| Independent | 1.1% | 1.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-derbyshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/mid-derbyshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)