# Mid Buckinghamshire: election prediction

Conservative hold, 96% likely. Lib Dem: 3% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Greg Smith
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 71.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 33.9% | 37.3% |
| Lib Dem | 18.7% | 26.5% |
| Reform UK | 18.6% | 12.8% |
| Labour | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| Green | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Restore Britain | 2.6% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/mid-buckinghamshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/mid-buckinghamshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)