# Melksham and Devizes: election prediction

Conservative gain from Lib Dem, 48% likely. Lib Dem: 47% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Brian Mathew
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 69.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 29.0% | 34.4% |
| Lib Dem | 28.5% | 39.1% |
| Reform UK | 22.3% | 13.1% |
| Labour | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Green | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Restore Britain | 4.5% | – |
| Independent | 0.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/melksham-and-devizes), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/melksham-and-devizes.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)