# Mansfield: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 58% likely. Labour: 39% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Steve Yemm
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 55.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 32.1% | 22.8% |
| Labour | 30.2% | 39.1% |
| Conservative | 20.7% | 30.6% |
| Restore Britain | 8.7% | – |
| Green | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Lib Dem | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Independent | 1.6% | 2.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/mansfield), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/mansfield.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)