# Manchester Central: election prediction

Labour hold, 88% likely. Green: 12% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Lucy Powell
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 46.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 38.3% | 50.8% |
| Green | 26.8% | 16.1% |
| Reform UK | 13.1% | 12.0% |
| Independent | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Lib Dem | 6.6% | 7.7% |
| Conservative | 6.5% | 7.1% |
| Restore Britain | 1.8% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/manchester-central), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/manchester-central.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)